| Courtesy of Environmental Defense
Myth: The science of global warming is too uncertain to act
on. Fact: There is no debate among scientists about the basic facts
of global warming.
The most respected scientific bodies have stated unequivocally that global
warming is occurring, and people are causing it by burning fossil fuels (like
coal, oil and natural gas) and cutting down forests. The U.S. National Academy
of Sciences, which in 2005 the White House called "the gold standard of
objective scientific assessment," issued a joint statement with 10 other
National Academies of Science saying "the scientific understanding of climate
change is now sufficiently clear to justify nations taking prompt action. It is
vital that all nations identify cost-effective steps that they can take now, to
contribute to substantial and long-term reduction in net global greenhouse gas
emissions." (Joint Statement of Science Academies: Global Response to Climate Change [PDF], 2005)
The only debate in the science community about global warming is about how
much and how fast warming will continue as a result of heat-trapping emissions.
Scientists have given a clear warning about global warming, and we have more
than enough facts — about causes and fixes — to implement solutions right
now.
Myth: Even if global warming is a problem, addressing it will hurt
American industry and workers. Fact: A well designed trading program
will harness American ingenuity to decrease heat-trapping pollution
cost-effectively, jumpstarting a new carbon economy.
Claims that fighting global warming will cripple the economy and cost
hundreds of thousands of jobs are unfounded. In fact, companies that are already
reducing their heat-trapping emissions have discovered that cutting pollution
can save money. The cost of a comprehensive national greenhouse gas reduction
program will depend on the precise emissions targets, the timing for the
reductions and the means of implementation. An independent MIT study found that
a modest cap-and-trade system would cost less than $20 per household annually
and have no negative impact on employment.
Experience has shown that properly designed emissions trading programs can
reduce compliance costs significantly compared with other regulatory approaches.
For example, the U.S. acid rain program reduced sulfur dioxide emissions by more
than 30 percent from 1990 levels and cost industry a fraction of what the
government originally estimated, according to EPA. Furthermore, a mandatory cap
on emissions could spur technological innovation that could create jobs and
wealth. Letting global warming continue until we are forced to address it on an
emergency basis could disrupt and severely damage our economy. It is far wiser
and more cost-effective to act now.
Myth: Water vapor is the most important, abundant greenhouse gas. So
if we're going to control a greenhouse gas, why don't we control it instead of
carbon dioxide (CO2)? Fact: Although water vapor traps
more heat than CO2, because of the relationships among
CO2, water vapor and climate, to fight global warming nations must
focus on controlling CO2.
Atmospheric levels of CO2 are determined by how much coal, natural
gas and oil we burn and how many trees we cut down, as well as by natural
processes like plant growth. Atmospheric levels of water vapor, on the other
hand, cannot be directly controlled by people; rather, they are determined by
temperatures. The warmer the atmosphere, the more water vapor it can hold. As a
result, water vapor is part of an amplifying effect. Greenhouse gases like
CO2 warm the air, which in turn adds to the stock of water vapor,
which in turn traps more heat and accelerates warming. Scientists know this
because of satellite measurements documenting a rise in water vapor
concentrations as the globe has warmed.
The best way to lower temperature and thus reduce water vapor levels is to
reduce CO2 emissions.
Myth: Global warming and extra CO2 will actually be
beneficial — they reduce cold-related deaths and stimulate crop
growth. Fact: Any beneficial effects will be far outweighed by
damage and disruption.
Even a warming in just the middle range of scientific projections would have
devastating impacts on many sectors of the economy. Rising seas would inundate
coastal communities, contaminate water supplies with salt and increase the risk
of flooding by storm surge, affecting tens of millions of people globally.
Moreover, extreme weather events, including heat waves, droughts and floods, are
predicted to increase in frequency and intensity, causing loss of lives and
property and throwing agriculture into turmoil.
Even though higher levels of CO2 can act as a plant fertilizer
under some conditions, scientists now think that the "CO2
fertilization" effect on crops has been overstated; in natural ecosystems, the
fertilization effect can diminish after a few years as plants acclimate.
Furthermore, increased CO2 may benefit undesirable, weedy species
more than desirable species.
Higher levels of CO2 have already caused ocean acidification, and
scientists are warning of potentially devastating effects on marine life and
fisheries. Moreover, higher levels of regional ozone (smog), a result of warmer
temperatures, could worsen respiratory illnesses. Less developed countries and
natural ecosystems may not have the capacity to adapt.
The notion that there will be regional "winners" and "losers" in global
warming is based on a world-view from the 1950's. We live in a global community.
Never mind the moral implications — when an environmental catastrophe creates
millions of refugees half-way around the world, Americans are
affected.
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